Estimated deaths & serious injuries from covid vaccination

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These estimates of serious injuries and deaths from covid vaccination are based on reports to the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (VAERS); the number of vaccines administered; and the percent of vaccine injuries reported to VAERS. They are presented here without commentary as reference material.

According to the last update from the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), VAERS has received 6,789 reports of death in the US from 357 million covid shots (1). And, according to the VAERS database, 37,212 reports of serious injury including death have been received in the US. (2)

It’s undisputed that only a fraction of vaccine injuries are reported to VAERS—the only uncertainty is how many. Guidance on the VAERS website says only a “small fraction” of vaccine injuries are reported, but that serious injuries are “probably” reported more often than minor ones. Other research says less than 1% of vaccine injuries are reported. (3)

The following chart estimates how many deaths from covid vaccination there actually were, based on the percentage of vaccine injuries reported to VAERS. No allowances are made here for coincidental deaths and injuries that may have been reported. To adjust for coincidence, select a higher percentage, which will estimate fewer deaths.

Here are the same estimates, but including both deaths and serious injuries:

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Creative Commons License: Everything in this paper is my original work, and may be shared without alteration for educational purposes, with attribution to virginiastoner.com.

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NOTES:

(1)

(2) VAERS search: Serious injuries reported from COVID19 vaccines:

(3)  Most vaccine injuries are not reported to VAERS:

 “…VAERS receives reports for only a small fraction of actual adverse events. …  more serious and unexpected medical events are probably more likely to be reported than minor ones…”   https://vaers.hhs.gov/data/dataguide.html

“…fewer than 1% of vaccine adverse events are reported. Low reporting rates preclude or slow the identification of “problem” drugs and vaccines that endanger public health.…” -- Electronic Support for Public Health–Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System (ESP:VAERS) , Lazarus, Ross, MBBS, MPH, MMed, GDCompSci & Michael Klompas, MD, MPH, Harvard Pilgrim Health Care, Inc., Inclusive dates: 12/01/07 - 09/30/10. https://digital.ahrq.gov/sites/default/files/docs/publication/r18hs017045-lazarus-final-report-2011.pdf

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