Writing

Writings on social engineering and other things

by Virginia “Ginny” Stoner, MA, JD

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Index of topics on this blog

Posts in Math and statistics
From speculation to correlation to cause: the logical path to proof (and why no one is following it)

We are told any excess deaths in 2020 were caused by a dangerous virus, which caused a disease called “Covid.” It seems we are expected to accept this claim on faith—but does the mortality data support it? What about the two conflicting alternative narratives? According to one, excess deaths were caused by harmful Covid response protocols—not a virus. According to the other, there were no excess deaths in 2020, and Covid was just a hoax or a con. The mortality data cannot possibly support all 3 of these conflicting narratives—and it may not support any of them. In fact, from what I’ve seen, it doesn’t.

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2022 mortality; 43% more deaths for ages 35-to-44; how to normalize excess deaths with math

The CDC’s long overdue update on deaths in the US is finally in—2022 numbers are complete (but not finalized) in the WONDER database, and 2021 numbers are finalized. Some things are especially disturbing; for example, excess deaths in the 35-44 year age group were a stunning 43% higher than expected. I also explain why I use 2015-2019 mortality data to calculate excess deaths, and explain why using a 5-year rolling average normalizes excess deaths.

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